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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpJabJabichndb1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–667, n=1227)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)66% (166–85, n=251)65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$123K$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #16PM monthly #253PM monthly #140
Sides with the consensus55% (11 of 20 open)64% (155 of 244 open)37% (10 of 27 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%86% of 188 at avg 59¢, ROI +13%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)6% (won 82% of 11)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)19% (won 81% of 36)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)51% (won 84% of 95)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)24% (won 96% of 46)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpJabJabichndb1
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $973Yes $6.0K—
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.1KYes $5.8K—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1KYes $4.5K—
Spread: FK Radnicki Nis (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
—FK Zeleznicar Pancevo $229FK Radnicki Nis $958—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $10—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713Over $10—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Andorra
—FC Andorra $517CD Tenerife $10—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: CD Tenerife O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $257Over $15—
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $7.1KCeltics $215——
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5KNo $10—
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Andorra
—CD Tenerife $99CD Tenerife $10—