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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankEthanael02ferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)65% (119–63, n=182)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$12K-$8.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #545was PM monthly #87PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus78% (35 of 45 open)100% (1 of 1 open)64% (43 of 67 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Esports +23 pts n=38, ROI +26%
  • NBA +27 pts n=15, ROI +22%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=36, ROI +12%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 101 at avg 74¢, ROI +20%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)0%—5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)7% (won 86% of 7)—41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 91% of 35)—49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)58% (won 97% of 59)—5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankEthanael02ferrariChampions2026primm
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Chiefs $24K—Jets $9.9K—
Browns vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Saints
——Saints $31KBrowns $88
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $7.1K—Commanders $14K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114K——Colts $5.1K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $33KChiefs $42K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $28K49ers $40K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $31KLions $28K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $23K—Colts $15K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $25KOver $9.7K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $5.0K—Giants $9.2K—