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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | Flaznorp | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 71% (2970–1233, n=4203) | 90% (18–2, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $6.4K | $533K | $530K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #67 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 47% (109 of 234 open) | 60% (6 of 10 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=612 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 41% (won 6% of 540) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 0% | 24% (won 38% of 322) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 11% (won 62% of 152) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 24% (won 94% of 319) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | Flaznorp | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Falcons opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $874K | — | Falcons $87 | Chiefs $7.8K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $1.1M | — | Vikings $397 | Vikings $8.5K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys same side · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $77K | — | Cowboys $15 | Cowboys $275 |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pacers $84K | — | 76ers $5.8K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Titans $122K | — | — | Titans $109K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $204K | — | — | Vikings $12K |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $78K | — | — | Pacers $292 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $75K | — | Colts $53 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $37K | — | — | Cowboys $5.8K |
| CD Comerciantes Unidos leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $27K | Yes $3.8K | — |