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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)65% (471–252, n=723)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$24K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #974PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensus80% (43 of 54 open)78% (7 of 9 open)71% (105 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Crypto −10 pts, n=22Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)18% (won 15% of 110)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 47% of 100)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)25% (won 57% of 158)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)41% (won 95% of 259)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorp
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $103K—76ers $1.0K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13K—No $45K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $287—76ers $724
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $805No $2
Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $413No $148
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $58Yes $2
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $7.0K—Bulls $704
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.4KNo $651