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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)65% (475–253, n=728)55% (13369–10733, n=24102)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$24K$1.4M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #484PM monthly #14PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)67% (4 of 6 open)67% (97 of 145 open)71% (68 of 96 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—Crypto −10 pts, n=22NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)18% (won 15% of 110)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 47% of 100)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)25% (won 57% of 158)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)41% (won 95% of 259)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpndb1
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.4KYes $661—
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $798No $9—
Will Vitesse Arnhem vs. De Graafschap end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $412No $151—
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $59Yes $1—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $425K——No $350K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $12K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4KNo $93—