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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpS-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)no settled market53% (7602–6859, n=14461)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$7.6M—$4.1M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #969PM monthly #10PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus89% (33 of 37 open)0% (0 of 2 open)66% (107 of 161 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=197, ROI +7%
  • NBA +6 pts n=73, ROI +2%
  • NFL +7 pts n=47, ROI +16%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Crypto −10 pts, n=22Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 627 at avg 61¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)18% (won 15% of 110)29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 47% of 100)16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)25% (won 57% of 158)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)41% (won 95% of 259)40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankDFSgznhdfsnhzfgdshndzfFlaznorpS-Works
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $147K—No $16K—