← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BikesAreTheBikes | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | Hauchn | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 17% (155–754, n=909) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | — | $8.4M | $536K | $116K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #143 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (56 of 103 open) | 79% (30 of 38 open) | 74% (316 of 429 open) | 40% (6 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Tech ±0 pts, n=36 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 7% (won 11% of 46) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 1% (won 86% of 7) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 1% (won 75% of 8) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 90% (won 100% of 565) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.