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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Bignum | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (9–18, n=27) | 55% (58–47, n=105) | 53% (529–468, n=997) | 88% (15–2, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.6K | $381K | $639K | $475K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #953 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #57 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (7 of 11 open) | 59% (26 of 44 open) | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 15 at avg 34¢, ROI +15% | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 50% of 6) | 0% | 12% (won 44% of 90) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 67% of 6) | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 25% (won 71% of 190) | 40% (won 100% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 100% of 2) | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 45% (won 80% of 347) | 33% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 18% (won 99% of 142) | 13% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Bignum | BreakTheBank | nigiri99 | VirIntrepidus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | — | — | Patriots $6.9K | Lions $34K |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | — | — | Packers $2.4K | Vikings $8.3K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K | Titans $8.2K |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | — | — | Patriots $194 | Lions $4.0K |
| Patriots vs. Lions same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $727K | — | Lions $17K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $221K | — | Chiefs $6.3K |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $115K | — | Vikings $6.5K |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) same side · consensus Lions | — | Lions $25K | Lions $3 | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $4.4K | Chiefs $12K | — |
| Panthers vs. Saints same side · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $1.8K | Panthers $238 | — |