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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AMLFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpereira12
Record (consensus markets)57% (4–3, n=7)71% (2793–1168, n=3961)48% (669–733, n=1402)67% (2–1, n=3)
Consensus PnL$362K$519K$835K$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #152PM monthly #8PM monthly #14PM monthly #891
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position43% (53 of 124 open)45% (9 of 20 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)—
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)—
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)—
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAMLFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpereira12
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Kings
—New Zealand Breakers $2Sydney Kings $6.9K—
Goyang vs. Wonju DB Promy
opposite sides · consensus Goyang
—Goyang $2.3KWonju DB Promy $177—
KCC Egis vs. Daegu Pegasus
opposite sides · consensus KCC Egis
—KCC Egis $530Daegu Pegasus $863—
Kobe: Benjamin Hassan vs Jumpei Yamasaki
opposite sides · consensus Benjamin Hassan
—Jumpei Yamasaki $29Benjamin Hassan $182—
India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India
opposite sides · consensus New Zealand
—India $57New Zealand $21—
England Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia vs England
opposite sides · consensus England
—Australia $5England $27—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
—Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K—
LG Sakers vs. Sonic Boom
same side · consensus LG Sakers
—LG Sakers $525LG Sakers $355—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $327Melbourne Renegades $42—
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Karnali Yaks
same side · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
—Karnali Yaks $10Karnali Yaks $2—
ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy T20s: Thailand Women vs Zimbabwe Women
same side · consensus Zimbabwe Women
—Thailand Women $6Thailand Women $2—