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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)43% (11687–15248, n=26935)41% (589–853, n=1442)48% (19424–21150, n=40574)51% (28265–27298, n=55563)
Consensus PnL-$9.5M$8.4M$14.9M$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #1PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)88% (29 of 33 open)62% (18 of 29 open)64% (47 of 73 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 82% of 60)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)36% (won 98% of 212)22% (won 94% of 5704)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 99% of 9204)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)20% (won 100% of 116)33% (won 100% of 8622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7KUnder $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter
opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter
Alafia Ayeni $234—Edward Winter $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KUnder $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $60No $174
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $36K—Janice Tjen $59K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $148——No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22——Yes $3.9K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Liam Broady
Liam Broady $1.4K—Liam Broady $677—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $872
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
——Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KUnder $67
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $41Under $801