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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf12Dbd6332Cb0Ef7e2298559C8A7c4D083e10272-1779599007737FlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2750–1138, n=3888)52% (560–514, n=1074)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL—$518K$410K$475K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #944PM monthly #8PM monthly #9PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (65 of 126 open)64% (47 of 74 open)50% (2 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)0%
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)0%
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf12Dbd6332Cb0Ef7e2298559C8A7c4D083e10272-1779599007737FlaznorpHomeRunHazardVirIntrepidus
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8KChiefs $6.2K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7KVikings $5.4K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Patriots $6.1KLions $1.3K
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 152.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $142—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $7.9KVikings $4.8K
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $225Flames $3.6K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30Arizona $3.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
same side · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $3Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 166.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32Under $997—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 164.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28Over $45—