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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (196–125, n=321)50% (1248–1260, n=2508)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$230K$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #335PM monthly #48PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (26 of 36 open)70% (16 of 23 open)57% (54 of 95 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won54% of 354 at avg 52¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢23% (won 16% of 83)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 40% of 82)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 56% of 90)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 96% of 99)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402primmRN1
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $905
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.2KOver $328
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $267Lions $14
Browns vs. Saints
same side · consensus Saints
—Saints $12KSaints $81K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $46KLions $2.0K
Spread: Lions (-5.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $3.2KLions $1.2K
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3