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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | primm | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (196–125, n=321) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) | 48% (17936–19365, n=37301) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $230K | $3.6M | $14.9M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #335 | PM monthly #48 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (26 of 36 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) | 58% (55 of 95 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 54% of 354 at avg 52¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 16% of 83) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 40% of 82) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 56% of 90) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 99) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402 | primm | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $6.2K | Seahawks $4.5K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $5.3K | Seahawks $969 | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $1.7K | Seahawks $2.3K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.7K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.0K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $190 | Seahawks $2.1K | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | — | Packers $52K | Packers $3.4K | — |