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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (573–526, n=1099)48% (648–704, n=1352)
Consensus PnL$0$388K$777K
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #9PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (51 of 81 open)50% (30 of 60 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 5)5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 84)34% (won 100% of 145)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 161)52% (won 100% of 219)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 20)8% (won 100% of 35)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Flames $6.0KKings $7
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.1KOver $421
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $306Utah Valley Wolverines $3.7K
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i
opposite sides · consensus North Dakota State
—North Dakota State $2.6KHawai'i $494
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $127Islanders $2.6K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $535Under $1.8K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $19K
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
same side · consensus Wyoming
—Wyoming $11KWyoming $143
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.2KOver $4
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $11Under $3.2K
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $1.2KHawai'i $1.3K
Spread: Utah (-2.5)
same side · consensus Utah
—Utah $381Utah $1.5K
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 65.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $395Under $11