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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048FlaznorpMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2760–1153, n=3913)84% (26–5, n=31)53% (510–448, n=958)
Consensus PnL$0$526K$341K$681K
Tracked asPM monthly #982PM monthly #8PM monthly #125PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (75 of 123 open)no open consensus position44% (31 of 71 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=19, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%90% of 29 at avg 72¢, ROI +20%74% of 676 at avg 54¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)3% (won 0% of 1)12% (won 40% of 83)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)10% (won 100% of 3)23% (won 65% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)21% (won 83% of 6)44% (won 77% of 300)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)66% (won 95% of 19)20% (won 99% of 135)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x7Ca02326c99bdf7D6d246546Fb0f259296D47344-1779887467048FlaznorpMD14nigiri99
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Ciryl Gane $81—Josh Hokit $37K
Utah vs. Arizona
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $27—Utah $21K
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $1.6K—Oklahoma $507
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $361—Flames $11K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $634—Texas Tech $4.8K
Panthers vs. Saints
same side · consensus Panthers
—Panthers $3.1K—Panthers $225
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Islanders
—Islanders $37—Islanders $368
Spread: Kings (-1.5)
same side · consensus Flames
—Flames $225—Flames $171
Flames vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $18—Over $141
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $3