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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)47% (237–268, n=505)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M-$191K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #17PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position61% (36 of 59 open)59% (145 of 244 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241joseph00677Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $57KCentral Michigan $12K
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $41KGrizzlies $123
Spread: UMass (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——Ball State $10KUMass $2.5K
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $11KCentral Michigan $583
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $9.9KCentral Michigan $815
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $5.6KBucks $765
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $5.1KUnder $830
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.9KOver $273
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $507Over $143
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Nets $44Hornets $125
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $7Central Michigan $49
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
——Kings $22Lakers $3
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
——UMass $112KUMass $1.0K
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Pelicans $30KPelicans $125
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $24K76ers $370
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Pelicans $18KPelicans $135
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $14KSpurs $188
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $13KKings $250
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $10KKnicks $675
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $8.0KTimberwolves $130
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $3.5KSacramento State $800
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $4.0KRaptors $130
Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $2.2KPelicans $280
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.2KUnder $428
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $793Under $255
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $315Raptors $275
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $22Celtics $485
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $4Over $130