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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1UpTheBlueszwaaan
Record (consensus markets)no settled market47% (12984–14433, n=27417)50% (18936–19161, n=38097)52% (114–106, n=220)
Consensus PnL—$14.8M$3.1M$501
Tracked as—PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #8was PM monthly #257
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position43% (13 of 30 open)63% (31 of 49 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———Crypto −5 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won—94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%53% of 126 at avg 52¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 57% of 2606)7% (won 99% of 2777)21% (won 4% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5665)20% (won 100% of 8217)21% (won 19% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 9185)22% (won 100% of 8818)29% (won 75% of 36)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 100% of 8345)51% (won 100% of 20793)30% (won 89% of 38)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241RN1UpTheBlueszwaaan
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.6KUnder $21K—
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.8KYes $6.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $382Under $7.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $2.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.6K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $35Under $1.5K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $45—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $162No $288—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $134No $87—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5—
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $3.1K—
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4KNo $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $902—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $43Boluspor $1.5K—
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $56Under $44—