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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6569–6087, n=12656)47% (271–305, n=576)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M-$154K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #10PM monthly #28PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (110 of 144 open)56% (9 of 16 open)57% (31 of 54 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)47% (won 100% of 101)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

19 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241FlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.2KMagic $3.8KSuns $1.7K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $2.3KMagic $12Suns $1.1K
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.4KHeat $122Warriors $108
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.2KOver $5.8KOver $1.9K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $727Under $245
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $15KWarriors $510
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $5.0K—Magic $644
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $137Heat $4.5K—
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $4.0K—Magic $217
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.7K—Magic $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KOver $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.0K—Magic $180
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $8.9K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $4.0KSouthern Miss $832
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $1.1K—Harold Mayot $3.7K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.8K—Suns $1.1K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $851—Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.7K—Suns $258
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $338
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Magic vs. Suns: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $874Over $750—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $144—Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $36—Han Shi $156
Predators vs. Avalanche
same side · consensus Avalanche
——Predators $59Predators $118