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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4827–4032, n=8859) | 57% (1110–846, n=1956) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.2M | $84K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | was PM monthly #787 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #25 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (22 of 36 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 57% (38 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 1537 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 28% (won 12% of 436) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 10% (won 38% of 160) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 15% (won 75% of 225) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 47% (won 97% of 716) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | l..messi | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lakers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Lakers $354K | — | — | Pistons $9.5K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Mavericks $15K | — | — | Nets $144 |
| Spread: Texans (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Texans | Texans $5.3K | — | — | Chargers $10 |
| Spread: Pistons (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Lakers $1.6K | — | — | Pistons $307 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $316K | T1 $2.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-9.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $97K | — | — | Heat $138 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $48K | — | — | Seahawks $3.8K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $4.1K | — | — | Packers $4.6K |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $3.8K | — | — | Lakers $629 |