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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465evaakFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)48% (41–44, n=85)no settled market75% (510–174, n=684)62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL-$367K—$59K-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #9was PM monthly #996PM monthly #13PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)no open consensus position66% (128 of 193 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21—Soccer −8 pts, n=40—
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)—34% (won 10% of 30)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)—19% (won 29% of 17)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)—13% (won 55% of 11)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)—34% (won 83% of 30)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465evaakFlaznorpprimm
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.9K—Magic $206—
Spread: Bowling Green (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kent State
Kent State $207——Bowling Green $2.2K
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $36K—Bucks $7—
Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Tomas Barrios
Tomas Barrios $27K—Tomas Barrios $2.5K—
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $19K—Over $1—
Spread: Knicks (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $18K—Bucks $258—
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $9.3K—Heat $5.7K—
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
Bucks $1.1K—Bucks $246—
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $10—Jazz $181—
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
same side · consensus Miami (OH)
Miami (OH) $51—Miami (OH) $36—