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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465e46m3RN1soared
Record (consensus markets)58% (21–15, n=36)17% (155–752, n=907)50% (65–65, n=130)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$204K$536K-$22K—
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #2PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #184
Sides with the consensus63% (20 of 32 open)73% (308 of 420 open)48% (44 of 91 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36——
Settled positions, side won—93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%——
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 11% of 46)——
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 86% of 7)——
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 75% of 8)——
Entries 70¢ and up—90% (won 100% of 565)——

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465e46m3RN1soared
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $174KYes $21——
Grizzlies vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $63K—Raptors $129—
Spread: Warriors (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Warriors $14K—Pelicans $472—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5KYes $318——
Spread: Pistons (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $2.3K—Pistons $306—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
Nuggets $77—Rockets $2.5K—
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $1.1K—Rockets $78—
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $41Rockets $19—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $5No $3—
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova
same side · consensus Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka $54K—Aryna Sabalenka $84K—
Wizards vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $110K—Pistons $610—
Pelicans vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $27K—Warriors $213—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Billy Harris
Billy Harris $4.6K—Billy Harris $6.2K—
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
Nuggets $1.7K—Nuggets $2.9K—
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Rockets $37Rockets $16—