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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465brrrrother444FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)50% (1–1, n=2)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$60K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #441PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position76% (210 of 276 open)56% (52 of 93 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%100% of 1 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)100% (won 100% of 1)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)0%16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)0%39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

39 on the same side, 33 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465brrrrother444FlaznorpRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $143K—Carlos Alcaraz $5.7KTaylor Fritz $2.1K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.8K—No $1.9KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $238—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K—No $494—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Bristol Rovers FC vs. Cambridge United FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Under $943—
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.7KOver $777
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8KJuan Bautista Torres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.4KYes $384
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Will LKP Motor Lublin vs. Wisla Plock end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.4KNo $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $119Over $1.2K
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $958Juan Carlos Prado $268
Sariyer SK vs. Igdir FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $357Under $859
Will NK Rudeš win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $529
Sariyer SK vs. Igdir FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $332Under $466
LKP Motor Lublin vs. Wisla Plock: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $261Over $520
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $510Under $86
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
——Jurij Rodionov $37Kimmer Coppejans $419
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $360Over $86
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $348Under $81
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $414No $5
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $322No $24
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
——Eintracht Braunschweig $322FC Energie Cottbus $21
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $225Hornets $116
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——76ers $188Cavaliers $108
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $139Under $5
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31No $12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $13KNo $22K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $5.0KNo $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.9KYes $10K
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $830—
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.6K—Over $65—
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $5.6K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $5.9K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $953No $6.5K
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $3.0KYes $4.1K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.2KNo $4.2K
Will Wisla Plock win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.4K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.6KNo $2.0K
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $3.4K—
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.1KUnder $1.7K
Will Hammarby IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.2KNo $18
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $676