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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | alfabetica | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4522–3297, n=7819) | 72% (13–5, n=18) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $43K | $7.9M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #594 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (18 of 28 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 66% (121 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 88% of 8 at avg 61¢, ROI +38% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 13% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 50% (won 75% of 4) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 25% (won 100% of 2) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | alfabetica | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | — | Yes $45K | — |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11 | — | — | No $45K |
| Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań | KKS Lech Poznań $22K | — | — | Sport Lisboa e Benfica $15K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $513 | — | — | No $8.0K |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $10 | — | — | No $5.3K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $211K | — | — | Yes $11K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz same side · consensus Taylor Fritz | Taylor Fritz $135K | — | — | Taylor Fritz $29K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $89K | — | — | No $26K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $43K | — | — | No $18K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $52K | Yes $485 | — | — |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $37K | — | — | Under $58 |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua same side · consensus Julia Riera | Julia Riera $645 | — | — | Julia Riera $7.7K |
| Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $71 | — | — | No $8.0K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.2K | — | — | No $5.2K |
| Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $42 | — | — | No $2.0K |
| Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $206 | — | — | No $213 |