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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplusti
Record (consensus markets)47% (59–66, n=125)75% (730–246, n=976)45% (192–239, n=431)45% (14–17, n=31)
Consensus PnL-$292K$69K$36K$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #43was PM monthly #883
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)63% (53 of 84 open)61% (11 of 18 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 14 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)5% (won 100% of 7)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)38% (won 100% of 51)43% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)50% (won 100% of 67)57% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)7% (won 100% of 9)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighplusti
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $191KG2 $2G2 $984—
South East Melbourne Phoenix vs. Illawarra Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Illawarra Hawks
—Illawarra Hawks $6.4KSouth East Melbourne Phoenix $6.1K—
Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Massimo Giunta
opposite sides · consensus Massimo Giunta
—Felix Gill $812Massimo Giunta $11K—
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)
opposite sides · consensus G2
G2 $21——MOUZ $6.5K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
—Alexander Shevchenko $958Casper Ruud $5.2K—
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $458—
LG Sakers vs. Seoul Knights
opposite sides · consensus LG Sakers
—Seoul Knights $1.8KLG Sakers $868—
Hersonissos 3: Francesco Maestrelli vs Johannus Monday
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Francesco Maestrelli $1.9KJohannus Monday $434—
W35 Heraklion: Denislava Glushkova vs Lucie Nguyen Tan
opposite sides · consensus Lucie Nguyen Tan
—Lucie Nguyen Tan $378Denislava Glushkova $28—
W35 Heraklion: Giulia Safina Popa vs Maria Golovina
opposite sides · consensus Giulia Safina Popa
—Giulia Safina Popa $288Maria Golovina $102—
Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Alex Bolt
same side · consensus Alex Bolt
Alafia Ayeni $32K—Alafia Ayeni $44K—
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus G2
G2 $11K—G2 $43—
W35 Heraklion: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Teodora Miron
same side · consensus Elena Ruxandra Bertea
—Elena Ruxandra Bertea $1.1KElena Ruxandra Bertea $410—
W35 Heraklion: Giorgia Pedone vs Marianna Argyrokastriti
same side · consensus Marianna Argyrokastriti
—Marianna Argyrokastriti $228Marianna Argyrokastriti $419—