← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | gmpm2 | Shady-Tool | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (41–47, n=88) | 75% (594–196, n=790) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$411K | $19K | -$6.1K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #430 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 66% (142 of 215 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NBA −2 pts, n=33 | NBA −15 pts, n=13 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 57% of 337 at avg 56¢, ROI +3% | 84% of 199 at avg 85¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 6% (won 32% of 19) | 5% (won 22% of 9) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 29% (won 48% of 97) | 5% (won 44% of 9) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 45% (won 55% of 150) | 5% (won 60% of 10) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 21% (won 80% of 71) | 86% (won 91% of 171) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | gmpm2 | Shady-Tool |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $5.9K | Magic $201 | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $4.7K | Kings $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Knicks $1.2K | Bucks $141 | — | — |
| Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios same side · consensus Juan Pablo Varillas | Tomas Barrios $39K | Tomas Barrios $2.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-14.5) same side · consensus Bucks | Bucks $37K | Bucks $12 | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz same side · consensus Heat | Heat $17K | Heat $6.2K | — | — |
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $17K | Over $5 | — | — |
| Bucks vs. Knicks same side · consensus Knicks | Bucks $8.5K | Bucks $2 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $32 | Jazz $225 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $12 | Jazz $222 | — | — |
| Ohio vs. Miami (OH) same side · consensus Miami (OH) | Miami (OH) $70 | Miami (OH) $35 | — | — |