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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | fred4332 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 52% (6491–6080, n=12571) | 54% (52–45, n=97) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.7M | $106K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #595 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (20 of 38 open) | 69% (245 of 357 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (86 of 149 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 52% of 91 at avg 46¢, ROI +10% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 24% (won 32% of 22) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 21% (won 42% of 19) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 51% (won 63% of 46) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 4% (won 75% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
47 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | fred4332 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $514 | Over $1.9K | — | Under $20 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11 | Raptors $60 | — | Raptors $163 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | Grizzlies $1.1K | — | Grizzlies $110 |
| Ducks vs. Flames opposite sides · consensus Flames | Flames $87K | Ducks $60 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Hornets opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Hornets $604 | Celtics $49K | — | — |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Jazz $30K | Mavericks $817 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $13K | Under $240 | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | No $494 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Raptors vs. Bucks opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $1.8K | Raptors $4.2K | — | — |
| Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Internacional de Bogotá: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.7K | — | Over $9 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $613 | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.1K | — | Over $3 |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.0K | — | Under $53 |
| Spread: Celtics (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Celtics $1.7K | — | Hornets $156 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $475 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.7K | — | Over $46 |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $884 | — | Over $528 |
| Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.3K | — | Yes $2 |
| Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 194.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | — | Under $2 |
| Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.1K | — | Over $46 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Celtics $845 | — | Hornets $305 |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Michigan Wolverines | — | Michigan Wolverines $929 | — | Connecticut Huskies $113 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $471 | — | No $524 |
| Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $789 | — | Over $66 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Grizzlies $676 | — | Thunder $161 |
| Spread: Raptors (-23.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Bucks $803 | — | Raptors $19 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Cavaliers $318 | — | 76ers $476 |
| Spread: Celtics (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $635 | — | Celtics $148 |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Hornets $595 | — | Celtics $146 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $226 | — | Celtics $495 |
| CA Banfield vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $442 | — | Under $247 |
| Indiana State Sycamores vs. Ball State Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Indiana State Sycamores | — | Ball State Cardinals $373 | — | Indiana State Sycamores $247 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Hornets $54 | — | Celtics $525 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $221 | — | Over $318 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $377 | — | Over $121 |
| Club Necaxa vs. Club Tijuana: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $451 | — | Over $37 |
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $265 | — | — | Raptors $39 |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Hornets $45 | — | Celtics $249 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $272 | — | No $11 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | Cavaliers $23 | — | 76ers $244 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $78 | — | Thunder $183 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Mavericks $56 | Jazz $174 | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $160 | — | Wizards $68 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $82 | — | Cavaliers $34 |
| Spread: Raptors (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | — | Raptors $60 | — | Bucks $8 |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | 76ers $36 | — | Cavaliers $11 |