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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | R2D2RS | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | 75% (697–230, n=927) | no settled market | 67% (455–225, n=680) |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | $59K | — | -$137K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #736 | PM monthly #44 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 65% (56 of 86 open) | no open consensus position | 44% (7 of 16 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 1 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 0% | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | R2D2RS | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $4.1K | Trail Blazers $12K | — | Trail Blazers $1.4K |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $307 | Trail Blazers $2.8K | — | Trail Blazers $1.6K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $4.0K | — | Thunder $208 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $2.4K | — | Trail Blazers $74 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $2.3K | — | Trail Blazers $1 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $426 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $280 | — | Over $267 |
| Spread: Thunder (-19.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $514 | — | Thunder $1 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $135 | — | Over $58 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $88 | — | Under $71 |
| M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han same side · consensus Xirui Han | Xirui Han $92K | Xirui Han $72 | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.6K | — | Trail Blazers $631 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.7K | — | Trail Blazers $6 |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $25 | — | Under $27 |
| Spread: Thunder (-17.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Thunder $4 | — | Thunder $7 |