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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CryptoSlonRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)61% (11–7, n=18)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$8.2M-$4.5K$14.9M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus62% (21 of 34 open)100% (4 of 4 open)54% (40 of 74 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)—22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)—35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)—33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CryptoSlonRN1S-Works
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Mavericks $15K—Nets $144—
Spread: Texans (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $5.3K—Chargers $10—
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Lakers $1.6K—Pistons $307—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $53K——Bilibili Gaming $364K
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
Texans $299K—Texans $11K—
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $97K—Heat $138—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $27K—Coco Gauff $44K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $48K—Seahawks $3.8K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $3.8K—Lakers $676—