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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CleanCoinFlipprimmS-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)no settled market50% (1248–1261, n=2509)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$8.2M—$3.6M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #6PM monthly #998PM monthly #46PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensus58% (22 of 38 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—5% (won 94% of 51)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)—41% (won 99% of 421)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)—49% (won 99% of 508)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)—5% (won 100% of 47)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465CleanCoinFlipprimmS-Works
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
T1 $28——Bilibili Gaming $154K
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Bears $76K—Buccaneers $1.5K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $316K——T1 $863K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $632K——Bilibili Gaming $386K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $53K——Bilibili Gaming $744K
Pelicans vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $101K——Pelicans $52K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $71K—Bears $5.8K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $8—Over $9.0K—