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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | strider- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 88% (72–10, n=82) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $3.3M | $45K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #797 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 67% (192 of 288 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 15% (won 25% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 7% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 11% (won 78% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 67% (won 100% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | strider- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $36K | Pistons $204K | Pistons $2.2K | — |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $941 | Hawks $2.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pistons $1.2K | — | 76ers $46 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | — | Bucks $251 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $365 | — | Under $62 | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | Under $16 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $8.6K | Celtics $215 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K | — |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.7K | — | Raptors $383 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $954 | Pistons $1.3K | — |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | Under $40 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Jazz $277 | Jazz $4 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $66 | Hawks $193 | — |