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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BaddieBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)34% (285–558, n=843)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6491–6080, n=12571)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$14K$7.3M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #889PM monthly #3PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)60% (68 of 114 open)77% (27 of 35 open)69% (248 of 358 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Golf ±0 pts, n=88—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%3% of 658 at avg 2¢, ROI +1%97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)99% (won 3% of 654)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)0% (won 0% of 2)35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)0% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)0%20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BaddieBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Raptors vs. Bucks
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $1.8K—Raptors $523KRaptors $4.2K
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $11—Raptors $214Raptors $56
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $12K—Grizzlies $50Grizzlies $952
Ducks vs. Flames
opposite sides · consensus Flames
Flames $87K——Ducks $59
Celtics vs. Hornets
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Hornets $604——Celtics $49K
Jazz vs. Mavericks
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Jazz $30K——Mavericks $817
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5K—Yes $23K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K——Under $240
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.9K——No $494
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $514——Over $1.9K
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Bucks $265—Raptors $769—
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Jazz $396Mavericks $15
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Mavericks $56——Jazz $174
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus T1
T1 $368K——T1 $40
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $31—No $30K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4Yes $22K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15Yes $18K—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
——Grizzlies $14KGrizzlies $593
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $14K—Jazz $14—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.4K—No $2.4K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $122Yes $3.3K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15Yes $2.3K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27Yes $1.0K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Timberwolves $199Timberwolves $72
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2Yes $164—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $80—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $28—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2Yes $27—