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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)66% (2877–1511, n=4388)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)no settled market
Consensus PnL$197K$3.3M$4.2M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #21PM monthly #150—
Sides with the consensus77% (36 of 47 open)62% (235 of 382 open)74% (35 of 47 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1622 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 55)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)—
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 151)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)—
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 345)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)—
Entries 70¢ and up66% (won 100% of 1071)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpndb1sainttroplay
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.3KYes $25K——
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.1KYes $5.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $5——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.0KUnder $22——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $618No $1.0K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.6KUnder $14——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $832Over $705——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2KYes $317——
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $838Yes $590——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $408Over $1.0K——
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 1 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $904Yes $500——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $228Yes $949——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $576No $495——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $910Under $125——
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $760Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262——
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25Yes $106——
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $59Yes $26——
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $113KNo $234K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9KOver $36K——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-3.5)
same side · consensus Fenerbahçe SK
Fenerbahçe SK $1.0KFenerbahçe SK $25K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $13K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.8KOver $7.2K——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
same side · consensus Fenerbahçe SK
Fenerbahçe SK $1.0KFenerbahçe SK $5.7K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3KUnder $3.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1KUnder $2.6K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $591Over $1.9K——
Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0KNo $1.2K——
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9KOver $53——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $567Under $1.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $981Yes $486——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $74No $1.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $655Under $311——
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10Yes $948——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $432Under $101——
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 0 Liverpool FC?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6Yes $2——