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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (1459–506, n=1965)46% (560–667, n=1227)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$97K$9.4M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #165PM monthly #1PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (51 of 66 open)59% (17 of 29 open)62% (13 of 21 open)61% (129 of 210 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 1134 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 90% of 62)11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 99% of 146)35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 266)35% (won 100% of 201)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 660)20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eBreakTheBankprimmRN1
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $25Jazz $283—Pelicans $154
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $29K—Pelicans $136
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $17K—Pelicans $130
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $2.4KCentral Michigan $11K
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $8.7KCentral Michigan $802
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Central Michigan $2.6KEastern Michigan $1.0K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.4KUMass $1.1K
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
——UMass $1.6KBall State $191
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $589Sacramento State $797
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $793UMass $481
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $201Over $671
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $462Over $265
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $437Sacramento State $72
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $38——Bulls $64
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Hawks $4——Wizards $69
Will São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8——Yes $35
76ers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $242Pistons $195K——
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
same side · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $4.3KToledo $505
Spread: Ball State (-5.5)
same side · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $3.0KBall State $636
Spread: Ball State (-4.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——UMass $40UMass $2.4K
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.3K——76ers $240
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $14Pistons $944——
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4——Under $889
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $4Toledo $525
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $343—Grizzlies $118
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
Hawks $20——Hawks $188
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $3——Over $61
Senators vs. Sabres
same side · consensus Sabres
Sabres $5——Sabres $54
Spread: Hawks (-19.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Hawks $8——Hawks $4