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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mostlywrong | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (55–34, n=89) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) | 50% (20607–20392, n=40999) |
| Consensus PnL | $31K | $3.6M | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #707 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 64% (14 of 22 open) | 61% (84 of 138 open) | 71% (32 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Football −15 pts, n=11 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 12% of 50) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 40% of 10) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 63% of 8) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mostlywrong | primm | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Illinois | — | Nebraska $2.0K | Illinois $279 | — |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | Under $798 | — |
| South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $508 | Over $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $74 |
| Spread: South Florida (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $262 | East Carolina $709 | — |
| Spread: South Florida (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus East Carolina | — | South Florida $213 | East Carolina $588 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | Virginia Tech $412 | SMU $372 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $381 | SMU $274 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| Spread: SMU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus SMU | — | Virginia Tech $226 | SMU $76 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $60 | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Nebraska vs. Illinois same side · consensus Nebraska | — | Nebraska $580 | Nebraska $8.6K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.6K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: SMU (-6.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $3.4K | SMU $651 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $960 |
| Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $20 | Over $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $41 | Under $801 |
| Spread: SMU (-7.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $5 | Virginia Tech $387 | — |
| Spread: SMU (-4.5) same side · consensus SMU | — | SMU $3 | SMU $80 | — |