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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Nebraska — but Illinois won instead.
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
Resolved Illinois. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Nebraska. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
36
Nebraska 46%
Total Value
$31.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Nebraska
17 of 36 top traders (46%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Nebraska0%
Illinois100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6594eab5...8f09d9
Slug
cfb-nebr-ill-2026-11-06-spread-away-4pt5