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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)67% (6–3, n=9)48% (670–739, n=1409)53% (529–468, n=997)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$526$885K$636K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #14PM monthly #53PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensus44% (4 of 9 open)54% (22 of 41 open)50% (20 of 40 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 44% of 90)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Patriots $19KPatriots $6.0KLions $36K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $14KPackers $2.4KVikings $8.3K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $15K—Chiefs $6.4K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Packers $15K—Vikings $5.9K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $1.3KTitans $5.9K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $4.9KCardinals $199—
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $33KBills $3.5K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $19KBrowns $1.2K—
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KOver $446—
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Otto Virtanen $904Otto Virtanen $1—