Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677primmUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)50% (26157–25785, n=51942)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$3.6M$1.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #46PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus53% (17 of 32 open)no open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)66% (41 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677primmUpTheBlues
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.8K—Over $17K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $8.1K—Buccaneers $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Under $7.6K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $634—Bears $3.5K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $295—Buccaneers $87—
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $28K—Buccaneers $14K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $12K—Over $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Under $20K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $148——No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22——Yes $3.9K
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $6—Bears $9—