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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677primmShady-Tool
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)83% (397–80, n=477)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$3.6M-$34K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #47PM monthly #433
Sides with the consensus68% (47 of 69 open)no open consensus position64% (7 of 11 open)83% (5 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———Soccer −17 pts, n=18
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%86% of 431 at avg 85¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)4% (won 22% of 18)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)7% (won 55% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)4% (won 56% of 18)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)85% (won 93% of 366)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677primmShady-Tool
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $87K—Cardinals $5.5K—
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
Raiders $460—49ers $90K—
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $2.8K—Cardinals $2.1K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2—Texans $2.7K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $2.2K—Cardinals $85—
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $149—Cardinals $737—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $88K—Packers $87K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Texans $68K—Texans $11K—
Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.2K—Under $270—