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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)31% (547–1218, n=1765)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$103K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #976PM monthly #98PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (26 of 36 open)no open consensus position74% (112 of 152 open)54% (33 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—50% of 896 at avg 41¢, ROI +6%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—48% (won 19% of 433)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—12% (won 51% of 110)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 76% of 119)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 94% of 234)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026IIIllllllIIIIIIIllllllllIIIIIIIIIIIllllllndb1RN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $35K——Elias Ymer $163
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $31K——Under $2.7K
Bengals vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Falcons $1.2K——Bengals $7.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K——Over $1.7K
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
Bengals $2.0K——Falcons $378
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $552——Falcons $203
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $115Yes $97
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $14K——Toby Samuel $31K
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $2.2K——Falcons $421
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21——Under $2.4K
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Falcons $514——Falcons $1.6K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159——Falcons $1.6K
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360