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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1UnreasonableAwareness
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M-$75K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #113was PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensus59% (52 of 88 open)71% (140 of 197 open)72% (71 of 98 open)0% (0 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)—
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)—
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)—
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1UnreasonableAwareness
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $42KCommanders $320——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $747——
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $27KArkansas Razorbacks $231——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $20KColts $63——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $11K76ers $797——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $345Over $3.2K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $80——
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $43KChiefs $5.4K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.2KOver $1.2K——
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $1.1KTSG 1899 Hoffenheim $2.1K——
Spread: Western Michigan Broncos (-4.5)
same side · consensus Campbell Fighting Camels
Campbell Fighting Camels $2.5KCampbell Fighting Camels $205——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $560Panthers $30——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118Under $297——
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Green Bay Phoenix
Green Bay Phoenix $249Green Bay Phoenix $43——