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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | PollsR4Dummies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 43% (11778–15356, n=27134) | 55% (13369–10733, n=24102) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 61% (20–13, n=33) |
| Consensus PnL | -$9.5M | $1.4M | $4.6M | $249K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #894 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 69% (98 of 143 open) | 70% (68 of 97 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 66% of 29 at avg 32¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 55% (won 50% of 16) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 17% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 28% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | PollsR4Dummies |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie opposite sides · consensus Cameron Norrie | James Duckworth $8 | Cameron Norrie $6.9K | — | — |
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Ugo Blanchet opposite sides · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri | Ugo Blanchet $3 | Buvaysar Gadamauri $5.8K | — | — |
| Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris | Liam Broady $2.0K | Billy Harris $1.7K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $141 | Yes $2.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Cavaliers $2.0K | Hornets $156 | — | — |
| Monastir: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos opposite sides · consensus Pedro Vives Marcos | Yannik Kelm $1 | Pedro Vives Marcos $2.0K | — | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | Adrian Andreev $24K | Adrian Andreev $8.5K | — | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo same side · consensus Tomas Machac | Tomas Machac $23K | Tomas Machac $2.1K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $12K | — | — |
| ACC Men's U19 Asia Cup: Sri Lanka Under-19s vs Afghanistan Under-19s same side · consensus Afghanistan Under-19s | Afghanistan Under-19s $35 | Afghanistan Under-19s $49 | — | — |