
No settled consensus market yet · PM monthly #834 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$0
Source
PM monthly #834
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
0
Markets
0
Volume
$0
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Specialties
29 settled consensus markets · held side won 66% at an average entry of 32¢- Elections
+35 pts
side won 69% of 13 · avg entry 35¢
ROI +26%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 55%(won 50% of 16)
- 30–50¢: 17%(won 60% of 5)
- 50–70¢: 28%(won 100% of 8)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.