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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)74% (17229–5971, n=23200)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$3.3M$68K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16PM monthly #7PM monthly #938
Sides with the consensus48% (16 of 33 open)70% (83 of 118 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677WagerWizard
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $23KClippers $8.5K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
opposite sides · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Chase Ferguson $260Sam Ryan Ziegann $797——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.9KOver $2.7K——
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $7.6KUnder $3.8K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $5.8KKeisuke Saitoh $587——