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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjayemeceendb1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)38% (35–58, n=93)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M-$1.5K$4.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16was PM monthly #993PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus53% (17 of 32 open)74% (84 of 114 open)0% (0 of 1 open)74% (74 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Soccer −3 pts, n=52NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%38% of 93 at avg 39¢, ROI −1%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)25% (won 22% of 23)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)49% (won 33% of 46)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)20% (won 58% of 19)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 80% of 5)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjayemeceendb1
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $23KClippers $745——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $4.5KHeat $2.8K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.9KOver $2.7K——
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $5.8KKeisuke Saitoh $645——