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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788furialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)55% (22–18, n=40)100% (1–0, n=1)47% (670–741, n=1411)53% (529–468, n=997)
Consensus PnL$883K$28K$885K$639K
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #929PM monthly #14PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position63% (45 of 72 open)55% (23 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 22 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 1)—5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 44% of 90)
Entries 30–50¢59% (won 100% of 13)—34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 100% of 7)—52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)—9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788furialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $20KPepperdine Waves $140K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $14KPackers $2.4K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13KUnder $1.4K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $4.9KCardinals $199
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $33KBills $3.6K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $19KPatriots $6.0K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $19KBrowns $1.2K
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
same side · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $3.8KPanthers $887
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KOver $446
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
——Otto Virtanen $886Otto Virtanen $1