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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boltbison | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (14–12, n=26) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 50% (15072–15093, n=30165) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $11.2M | $3.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #951 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 50% (96 of 191 open) | 64% (127 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 56¢, ROI +42% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
16 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boltbison | BreakTheBank | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $642K | Yes $4.1K | No $6.5K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $5 | No $5.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.7K | Yes $96 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.0K | Yes $149 | — |
| M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim | — | — | Eric Vanshelboim $653 | Ignacio Parisca $296 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $68 | No $677 |
| SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $15 | Under $638 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $5 | No $622 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Over $482 |
| Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel | — | — | Lukas Pokorny $100 | Toby Samuel $434 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $96 | Yes $271 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $109 | Under $157 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | — | — | Anna Siskova $134 | Marie Weckerle $55 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $56K | Yes $680 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $22K | Yes $117 | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $15K | Yes $215 | — |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $786 | Over $7.9K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $100 | Under $6.8K |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $122 | No $6.3K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff same side · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante | — | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $905 | Jan-Lennard Struff $3.5K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $104 | Under $4.0K |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $33 | Yes $3.2K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $26 | Under $2.7K |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.6K | Yes $69 | — |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | Yes $59 | — |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.0K | Yes $63 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $28 | Yes $41 | — |
| Will SK Artis Brno win on 2026-10-17? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $15 | Yes $36 |
| Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna | — | — | Juan Manuel La Serna $36 | Juan Manuel La Serna $13 |