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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| black-rabbit | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (428–388, n=816) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | $411K | -$8.8M | $3.3M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #709 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 70% (23 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 633 at avg 50¢, ROI +9% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 28% (won 5% of 177) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 23% of 104) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 86% of 152) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 200) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | black-rabbit | ferrariChampions2026 | joseph00677 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $802 | — | Over $14K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner opposite sides · consensus T1 | T1 $1 | Bilibili Gaming $2.2K | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $25K | Bilibili Gaming $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $27K | — | Bears $7.2K |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $18K | — | Buccaneers $5.4K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.8K | — | Over $9.2K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner same side · consensus T1 | Bilibili Gaming $4.0K | Bilibili Gaming $5 | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner same side · consensus T1 | T1 $40 | T1 $1.6K | — | — |