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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (122–127, n=249)45% (571–700, n=1271)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$13K$9.4M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #444PM monthly #1PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)59% (17 of 29 open)68% (279 of 410 open)60% (223 of 372 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +52 pts n=60, ROI +52%
  • NFL +48 pts n=38, ROI +46%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won100% of 111 at avg 50¢, ROI +49%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 60)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢44% (won 100% of 49)35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 70 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying99999BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
76ers vs. Pistons
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $453Pistons $90K76ers $6.2K—
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $19KPelicans $805Pelicans $135
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $529Celtics $14KBucks $2.2K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Celtics $880Celtics $1.3KBucks $765
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Grizzlies $357Pacers $326Grizzlies $123
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $323Jazz $285Pelicans $143
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $218KPacers $3.4K—
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $30K—Pelicans $125
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $25KOver $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $370No $13K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $60Central Michigan $12K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $11KOver $247
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.1KNo $9.1K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KNo $8.0K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $79No $6.0K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $83No $4.6K
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Bucks $4.1KCeltics $485
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.1KOver $92
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $8No $3.0K
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt
——Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2KMax Wiskandt $1.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $301No $2.4K
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.3KNo $343
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.4KYes $103
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.3KNo $63
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $2.2KCeltics $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $274Under $1.7K
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
——Maxwell McKennon $849Mauricio Echazu $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $1.6KBucks $57
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $80No $1.6K
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Bulls $1.5KKnicks $158
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $23
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $196No $1.4K
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.5KNo $4
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $36No $1.5K
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $83No $1.4K
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $23
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.4KYes $3
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
——Senators $66Sabres $1.3K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $138
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KOver $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $988Bulls $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $372Under $394
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $753Under $8
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $664Under $87
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $78Over $535