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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (210–154, n=364)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$7.7M$3.3M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (3 of 6 open)83% (40 of 48 open)no open consensus position56% (55 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $70Bulls $103K—76ers $903
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $294K—Texans $9.1K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $100K—Texans $1.5K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $13K—No $24K
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
—Chargers $3.9K—Texans $1.6K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
—Packers $143K—Packers $14
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $124K—Seahawks $935
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $104K—Packers $3.6K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $411——Over $309
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
Bulls $331Bulls $287——