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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankDegenKingBetterferrariChampions2026
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)60% (89–60, n=149)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M$118K-$8.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #569was PM monthly #87
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (41 of 54 open)50% (1 of 2 open)57% (50 of 87 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=33, ROI +17%
  • MLB +14 pts n=67, ROI +16%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%68% of 132 at avg 54¢, ROI +13%—
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 0% of 7)—
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)20% (won 67% of 27)—
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)71% (won 72% of 94)—
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)3% (won 100% of 4)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankDegenKingBetterferrariChampions2026
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $208K—Over $19K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $179K—Cowboys $6.9K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49K—Cowboys $20K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68K—Eagles $53
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $21K—Jets $11K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13K—Commanders $18K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Giants $37K—Giants $8.0K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $24K—Colts $8.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $248